Stephen Taylor’s weekly Toast-o-Meter is live on his PoliBlog with his detailed look at the current state of the sack race to the Dem nomination. Our analysis connects pretty well up and down the line this week, except he is a little bit harder on Joementum than am I — I think it’s a fine thing that Lieberman’s having a blast — but if Joe doesn’t win big across the board, or show some signs that the voters consider him to be the “moderate alternative” he imagines himself to be, it is time for him to heed the call of his constituents and go back to Connecticut.

Edwards “has to win SC to credibly say that he has won on Tuesday. Although outlandish scenarios like a surprise win in MO, or taking several other states would work as well. However, I wouldn’t hold my breath on those possibilities. He has to take SC, or the whole “I can win in the South” argument is blown out the window—and without a doubt, that is one of his key strengths.

Yes.